Sunday, December 27, 2009

Stopping to analyze my results

So after a ton of play in the past three months, I think maybe I should quit playing online poker. I've been doing really poorly lately, and I noticed I have more trouble controlling tilt online rather than live. Furthermore, I seem to have lost my ability to multitable well, effectively making it worth less for me to play online.

It's not that I can't win. (Well, at the moment I can't.) But rather, it's probably a better use of my time to go to the casino and play. However, this could be hurting my growth as a player. Recently, I haven't really been studying the game much. I haven't been reading or comparing hands as much as I used to. This is probably because I am crushing the game I am currently playing and feel no desire to move up at the moment.

The Hustler just added a new game in December, a 5-10 blind, with a 500-1500 buyin. The game is identical to the Commerce game with one exception. Without a built in player base of regulars, it usually draws from the 5-5 300-500 buyin players. This is an extremely soft $5-$10 game that is running daily.
I'm averaging around $200 in $5-$10 games at the hustler. My sample size is small, and I know I can't sustain that win rate, but I think maintain $80+ an hour is doable. If I can make $80 an hour at the casino, and online I make maybe $20 an hour, what's the point of playing online?

Every Sunday, I put up $400 to $1,000 in tournament buyins. I haven't had final table in months in a tournament with a buyin bigger than $30. I haven't won a tournament online in over 4 months. Why am I wasting my time? Even if my ROI is something respectable like 25-40%, I am still doing much better per hour at the casino.

I think maybe I'll just use online poker to improve at other games like PLO and limit hold'em. It's really disheartening that every Sunday, I just light a wad of hundreds on fire.

But I'm SMASHING live. I guess if I look at it this way, I'm running hot at the bigger games and running cold online at smaller stakes. That's always good right? Last night at the Hustler, I ran really good in a 7 hour session where I won $3.5k, and made quads twice, made two sets, and flopped the nut straight for stacks. I shouldn't whine.

Looking foward to the Pokerstars Caribbean Adventure. It starts on Jan 4th, and I'm gonna take some time to enjoy the Bahamas. Maybe all my tournament run bad is waiting for this. This would be a good time to ship a tournament, hahaha. First last year was $3 mil, it'll probably be a little smaller this year. It's been a while since I've played a live tournament with a serious buyin, I'm looking forward to it. I'm still selling out action for those that are interested in buying.

Wish me luck.
I'll see you across the felt.

Bryce

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