Sunday, December 27, 2009

Stopping to analyze my results

So after a ton of play in the past three months, I think maybe I should quit playing online poker. I've been doing really poorly lately, and I noticed I have more trouble controlling tilt online rather than live. Furthermore, I seem to have lost my ability to multitable well, effectively making it worth less for me to play online.

It's not that I can't win. (Well, at the moment I can't.) But rather, it's probably a better use of my time to go to the casino and play. However, this could be hurting my growth as a player. Recently, I haven't really been studying the game much. I haven't been reading or comparing hands as much as I used to. This is probably because I am crushing the game I am currently playing and feel no desire to move up at the moment.

The Hustler just added a new game in December, a 5-10 blind, with a 500-1500 buyin. The game is identical to the Commerce game with one exception. Without a built in player base of regulars, it usually draws from the 5-5 300-500 buyin players. This is an extremely soft $5-$10 game that is running daily.
I'm averaging around $200 in $5-$10 games at the hustler. My sample size is small, and I know I can't sustain that win rate, but I think maintain $80+ an hour is doable. If I can make $80 an hour at the casino, and online I make maybe $20 an hour, what's the point of playing online?

Every Sunday, I put up $400 to $1,000 in tournament buyins. I haven't had final table in months in a tournament with a buyin bigger than $30. I haven't won a tournament online in over 4 months. Why am I wasting my time? Even if my ROI is something respectable like 25-40%, I am still doing much better per hour at the casino.

I think maybe I'll just use online poker to improve at other games like PLO and limit hold'em. It's really disheartening that every Sunday, I just light a wad of hundreds on fire.

But I'm SMASHING live. I guess if I look at it this way, I'm running hot at the bigger games and running cold online at smaller stakes. That's always good right? Last night at the Hustler, I ran really good in a 7 hour session where I won $3.5k, and made quads twice, made two sets, and flopped the nut straight for stacks. I shouldn't whine.

Looking foward to the Pokerstars Caribbean Adventure. It starts on Jan 4th, and I'm gonna take some time to enjoy the Bahamas. Maybe all my tournament run bad is waiting for this. This would be a good time to ship a tournament, hahaha. First last year was $3 mil, it'll probably be a little smaller this year. It's been a while since I've played a live tournament with a serious buyin, I'm looking forward to it. I'm still selling out action for those that are interested in buying.

Wish me luck.
I'll see you across the felt.

Bryce

Saturday, December 5, 2009

Wild Session at the Hustler

I was down $7k at one point in the $5-10 at the Hustler. 16 hours after I started, I managed to book a $5k win.

I'm just going to list fun or interesting hands.

I raise K7s in a straddled pot and get 4 callers. The flop is 2s 3s 6s, and the small blind just leads for $400, a full pot bet. Folds back to me and I debate calling, raising and shoving, and eventually I decided to just ship it all in. The guy behind me makes a big show of his hand and then calls. The regular who lead out, turns over 33 and throws it into the muck. The other guy turns over 22 and bemoans the fact most of his outs to win are gone. The board bricks out twice and I win.

I straddle and pick up QJ. Three limpers, and I make it $100 to go. Two guys call, and the flop comes out Qc Jc Jd. The SB checks, and the BB, the same guy who had 22, leads for $270. I flat call in order to induce the SB to draw to a flush or straight. He folds, and we move to the turn. The BB bets $400 on the 8h, and I raise to $1,000. He instantly moves in for $3,800 and I call just as fast. I turn over my hand and he just mucks his hand stating he's drawing dead.

Stakes are now 10/20
I raise the button to 70 with T4s, the SB calls, the BB calls.
The flop is Tc 8h 7c. They both check, I bet $200, the BB calls. The turn is a 6h, he checks and I bet $400.

I think this is not a standard bet, but a good one vs someone who is going to play relatively straight foward. Most people will call with their flush draw, raise a straight, and fold their one pair hands. They may or may not call with two pair. However most two pairs raise the flop, as do sets, so it's likely a ten is the best hand here. It should be bet for value against fluhs draws, and getting raised isn't a concern because you are usually drawing dead when you get raised.

The BB calls the 400. The river is a Jd, and he bets $600. I call and win vs his Qc4c
Well given, the fact he didn't raise the flop or turn we can figure out he probably doesn't have a set, two pair or a straight. His hand looks like a flush draw trying to steal, and most people wouldn't valuebet a J or T on this river. They just couldn't imagine they would get called by a worse hand.



The CO raises to 70, the BTN calls, I call with Ad5c in the SB, the BB calls.
The flop is 8d 7d 6s, I check call the BB $150 bet. I have the backdoor nut flush draw, a draw to an ace, and a bottom end open ended straight draw, which adds up to an easy call to me. The turn is a 4 and I think he's so liable to bluff here, I should just check/call him. So he obliges me by bettinged $300, then another $500 on the river. He turns over Q9o for a busted OESD, and I win the pot.


I think these hands were kinda interesting, and I was proud of them. I'll try to find more later.


I'll see you across the felt.
Bryce

November Monthly Report

November Cash Games Live $7,520
Online ($350.45)
Tournaments Live ($610)
Online ($1,393)
Poker $5,167.01
Staking ($1,257.52)
Net on month $3,909.49



Played a lot of live poker in November. Stayed away from online tournaments and doing better. I'm on track to actually book a win in cash games for the year, even if it's a small one.

Hoping to find time to put in volume in December, I should be busy with other stuff.